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Wednesday, April 5, 2017

Statistical Advance: Analyzing the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500

DAYTONA BEACH, Fla. – Below is a look at the top statistical performers at Texas Motor Speedway in Fort Worth, Texas, going into the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 on April 9 at 1:30 p.m. ET on FOX, PRN and SiriusXM NASCAR Radio.
 
TEXAS-SPECIFIC STATISTICS

Clint Bowyer (No. 14 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford Fusion)
·        Three top fives, ten top 10s
·        Average finish of 15.455, 10th-best
·        Average Running Position of 15.316, 12th-best
·        Driver Rating of 85.0, 13th-best
·        163 Fastest Laps Run, fourth-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.105, 12th-fastest
·        4007 Laps in the Top 15 (54.7), 12th-most
·        671 Quality Passes, 10th-most

Kyle Busch (No. 18 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry
·        Two wins, 11 top fives, 12 top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 11.591, fifth-best
·        Average Running Position of 10.734, fourth-best
·        Driver Rating of 102.4, third-best
·        414 Fastest Laps Run, ninth-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.843, second-fastest
·        5391 Laps in the Top 15 (73.5), sixth-most
·        792 Quality Passes, seventh-most

Kurt Busch (No. 41 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford Fusion)
·        One win, three top fives, 15 top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 16.292, 12th-best
·        Average Running Position of 14.411, 11th-best
·        Driver Rating of 87.8, 10th-best
·        215 Fastest Laps Run, second-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.130, 11th-fastest
·        4757 Laps in the Top 15 (59.5), 11th-most
·        785 Quality Passes, eighth-most

Dale Earnhardt Jr (No. 88 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)
·        One win, six top fives, 17 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 13.870, ninth-best
·        Average Running Position of 12.447, seventh-best
·        Driver Rating of 93.2, fifth-best
·        307 Fastest Laps Run, fifth-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.617, fifth-fastest
·        5784 Laps in the Top 15 (75.1), fifth-most
·        979 Quality Passes, series-most

Chase Elliott (No. 24 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)
·        Two top fives, two top 10s
·        Average finish of 4.500, series-best
·        Average Running Position of 8.581, series-best
·        Driver Rating of 100.8, fourth-best
·        17 Fastest Laps Run, 13th-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 174.114, series-fastest
·        563 Laps in the Top 15 (89.8), second-most
·        93 Quality Passes, 12th-most

Denny Hamlin (No. 11 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)
·        Two wins, five top fives, 11 top 10s
·        Average finish of 12.000, sixth-best
·        Average Running Position of 13.516, eighth-best
·        Driver Rating of 90.4, eighth-best
·        188 Fastest Laps Run, seventh-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.322, eighth-fastest
·        4963 Laps in the Top 15 (67.7), seventh-most
·        918 Quality Passes, second-most

Kevin Harvick (No. 4 Stewart-Haas Racing Ford Fusion)
·        Six top fives, 16 top 10s
·        Average finish of 11.500, fourth-best
·        Average Running Position of 13.725, ninth-best
·        Driver Rating of 90.0, ninth-best
·        196 Fastest Laps Run, 10th-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 172.567, 13th-fastest
·        5296 Laps in the Top 15 (66.2), ninth-most
·        900 Quality Passes, fourth-most

Jimmie Johnson (No. 48 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)
·        Six wins, 14 top fives, 20 top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 8.458, third-best
·        Average Running Position of 10.299, third-best
·        Driver Rating of 107.1, series-best
·        650 Fastest Laps Run, 11th-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.835, fourth-fastest
·        6247 Laps in the Top 15 (78.1), fourth-most
·        901 Quality Passes, third-most

Erik Jones (No. 77 Furniture Row Racing Toyota Camry)
·        One top 15
·        Average finish of 12.0, seventh-best
·        Average Running Position of 11.240, fifth-best
·        Driver Rating of 92.4, seventh-best
·        1 Fastest Laps Run, eighth-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.267, 10th-fastest
·        312 Laps in the Top 15 (93.4), series-most
·        40 Quality Passes, 13th-most

Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Drivers With 2017 Stage 1 and 2 Points
Rank
Drivers
Stage 1 Pts
Stage 2 Pts
Combined
1
Chase Elliott
35
44
79
2
Kyle Larson
40
35
75
3
Brad Keselowski
38
35
73
4
Martin Truex Jr.
36
27
63
5
Kyle Busch
32
21
53
6
Ryan Blaney
26
15
41
7
Kevin Harvick
19
21
40
8
Joey Logano
20
18
38
9
Jamie McMurray
22
13
35
10
Jimmie Johnson
13
15
28
11
Denny Hamlin
16
4
20
12
Clint Bowyer
6
13
19
13
Erik Jones #
3
16
19
14
Ryan Newman
7
12
19
15
Dale Earnhardt Jr.
8
9
17
16
Kurt Busch
0
8
8
17
Austin Dillon
2
5
7
18
Danica Patrick
1
6
7
19
Matt Kenseth
2
4
6
20
AJ Allmendinger
0
5
5
21
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
4
0
4
22
Trevor Bayne
0
3
3
23
Kasey Kahne
0
1
1

Kasey Kahne (No. 5 Hendrick Motorsports Chevrolet SS)
·        One win, five top fives, nine top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 18.042, 13th-best
·        Average Running Position of 14.361, 10th-best
·        Driver Rating of 86.0, 12th-best
·        276 Fastest Laps Run, series-best
·        5096 Laps in the Top 15 (63.7), 10th-most
·        862 Quality Passes, sixth-most

Matt Kenseth (No. 20 Joe Gibbs Racing Toyota Camry)
·        Two wins, 13 top fives, 18 top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 8.261, second-best
·        Average Running Position of 9.131, second-best
·        Driver Rating of 104.7, second-best
·        395 Fastest Laps Run, 12th-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.838, third-fastest
·        6246 Laps in the Top 15 (81.5), third-most
·        871 Quality Passes, fifth-most

Brad Keselowski (No. 2 Team Penske Ford Fusion)
·        Four top fives, six top 10s; one pole
·        Average finish of 16.235, 11th-best
·        Average Running Position of 15.577, 13th-best
·        Driver Rating of 86.7, 11th-best
·        295 Fastest Laps Run, third-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.312, ninth-fastest
·        3007 Laps in the Top 15 (53.2), 13th-most
·        443 Quality Passes, 11th-most

Martin Truex Jr (No. 78 Furniture Row Racing Toyota Camry)
·        Three top fives, 12 top 10s; two poles
·        Average finish of 13.826, eighth-best
·        Average Running Position of 12.350, sixth-best
·        Driver Rating of 93.0, sixth-best
·        216 Fastest Laps Run, sixth-best
·        Average Green Flag Speed of 173.542, sixth-fastest
·        5188 Laps in the Top 15 (67.7), eighth-most
·        735 Quality Passes, ninth-most

Rank
Driver
Races
Poles
Wins
Top Fives
Top 10s
DNFs
Average Finish
Driver Rating
1
Kyle Larson
7
0
0
1
2
1
18
83.7
2
Chase Elliott
2
0
0
2
2
0
4.5
100.8
3
Martin Truex Jr
23
2
0
3
12
3
13.8
93.0
4
Brad Keselowski
17
1
0
4
6
0
16.2
86.7
5
Joey Logano
17
0
1
7
7
1
16.6
84.1
6
Kyle Busch
22
1
2
11
12
0
11.6
102.4
7
Ryan Blaney
4
0
0
0
0
2
31.5
58.1
8
Clint Bowyer
22
0
0
3
10
2
15.5
85.0
9
Jamie McMurray
26
0
0
4
9
1
16.8
78.3
10
Kevin Harvick
28
0
0
6
16
1
12
90.0
11
Ryan Newman
27
2
1
3
6
3
18.4
75.1
12
Kasey Kahne
25
1
1
5
9
4
17.4
86.0
13
Erik Jones
1
0
0
0
0
0
12
92.4
14
Jimmie Johnson
27
1
6
14
20
1
8.4
107.1
15
Trevor Bayne
13
0
0
0
0
1
23.7
62.5
* – Based on last 24 races at Texas Motor Speedway (2005 – 2016).


2017 Stage Winners / Drivers with Playoff Points
Track
Stage 1 Winner
Stage 2 Winner
Race Winner
Playoff Points Following Race #6
Daytona
Kyle Busch
Kevin Harvick
Kurt Busch
Drivers
Playoff Points
Atlanta
Kevin Harvick
Kevin Harvick
Brad Keselowski
Brad Keselowski
10
Las Vegas
Martin Truex Jr.
Martin Truex Jr.
Martin Truex Jr.
Martin Truex Jr.
9
Phoenix
Joey Logano
Chase Elliott
Ryan Newman
Kyle Larson
6
Auto Club
Kyle Larson
Martin Truex Jr.
Kyle Larson
Ryan Newman
5
Martinsville
Martin Truex Jr.
Chase Elliott
Brad Keselowski
Kurt Busch
5
Texas
Kevin Harvick
3
Bristol



Chase Elliott
2
Richmond
Joey Logano
1
Talladega



Kyle Busch
1


Texas Motor Speedway:
History
·        Construction on Texas Motor Speedway began in 1995.
·        The first NASCAR national series race at TMS was a NASCAR XFINITY Series event on April 5, 1997 – won by Mark Martin.
·        The first Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race was on April 6, 1997 – won by Jeff Burton.
·        The track underwent a repave between the 2001 and 2002 seasons.
·        In 2011, the spring Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race was moved from Sunday to Saturday night under the lights at Texas Motor Speedway. 2017 marks the first season it will be moved back to a Sunday afternoon race.
·        Texas Motor Speedway hosted its first Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series playoffs race on November 6, 2005 – won by Carl Edwards.
·        The track underwent its second repave between the 2016 and 2017 seasons. The renovation added a new layer of asphalt over the existing pavement, an expansive French drainage system on the frontstretch and backstretch, and reduced the banking in Turns 1 and 2 by four degrees (now 20 degrees).

Starts
·        There have been 32 Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series races at Texas Motor Speedway, one event from 1997 - 2004 and two races per year since 2005.
·        152 drivers have competed in at least one Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race at Texas; 123 in more than one.
·        Jeff Gordon leads the series in starts at Texas Motor Speedway with 30.
·        Dale Earnhardt Jr., Kevin Harvick, Matt Kenseth and Kurt Busch lead all active drivers with 28 Texas starts each.
·        Chase Elliott leads all active drivers with more than one start in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series at Texas Motor Speedway in average starting position with a 7.500. Jimmie Johnson leads all active drivers with more than five series starts at TMS with an 8.889.

·        Chase Elliott (7.5) and Jimmie Johnson (8.9) are the only active drivers that have made more than one start at Texas with an average starting position inside the top 10.
·        Six drivers have made their first Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series career start at Texas Motor Speedway: Adam Petty (2000), Jay Sauter (2002), Brad Keselowski (2008), Trevor Bayne (2010), David Starr (2011) and Parker Kligerman (2013).

Poles
·        Jeremy Mayfield was the first Coors Light pole winner (1998) at Texas Motor Speedway with a speed of 185.906 mph. The inaugural Coors Light pole at Texas Motor Speedway in 1997 was cancelled due to weather conditions.
·        23 drivers have Coors Light poles at Texas, led by Dale Earnhardt Jr., Jeff Gordon, Ryan Newman, Tony Stewart, Bobby Labonte, Carl Edwards and Martin Truex Jr. with two each.
·        Two drivers have won consecutive Coors Light poles at Texas Motor Speedway: Bobby Labonte (2003 and 2004) and Ryan Newman (2005 sweep).
·        Youngest Texas Coors Light pole winner: Brian Vickers (11/05/2006 – 23 years, 0 months, 12 days).
·        Oldest Texas Coors Light pole winner: Bill Elliott (4/08/2002 – 46 years, 6 months, 0 days).
·        David Ragan (4/09/2011) and Martin Truex Jr. (11/04/2007) posted their first Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Coors Light poles at Texas Motor Speedway.    

Wins
·        18 different drivers have won at Texas Motor Speedway, led by Jimmie Johnson with six victories.
·        Eight drivers have multiple wins at Texas Motor Speedway:  Jimmie Johnson (six), Carl Edwards (four), Greg Biffle, Jeff Burton, Denny Hamlin, Matt Kenseth, Kyle Busch and Tony Stewart each have two.
·        Three Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series drivers have posted consecutive wins at Texas Motor Speedway: Jimmie Johnson (2014 playoff race and 2015 sweep), Carl Edwards (2008 sweep) and Denny Hamlin (2010 sweep).
·        Roush Fenway Racing leads the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series in wins at Texas Motor Speedway with nine; followed by Hendrick Motorsports with eight and Joe Gibbs Racing has six. 
·        Four different manufacturers have won a MENCS race at Texas, led by Ford and Chevrolet (12 each); followed by Toyota (five) and Dodge (three).
·        One Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series driver has won at Texas Motor Speedway in two different manufacturers: Jeff Burton (1997 – Ford; 2007 – Chevrolet)
·        Youngest Texas winner: Joey Logano (03/30/2003 – 23 years, 10 months, 14 days).
·        Oldest Texas winner: Dale Jarrett (04/01/2001 – 44 years, 4 months, 6 days).

·        Three of the 32 (9.3%) Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series races at Texas Motor Speedway have been won from the Coors Light pole: Kasey Kahne (2006), Jimmie Johnson (2012) and Kyle Busch (2013). 
·        Six of the 32 (18.8%) Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series races at Texas Motor Speedway have been won from the front row: three from the pole and three from second-place.
·        The third-place starting position is the most proficient starting spot in the field at Texas Motor Speedway, producing more wins than any other starting position (six) – most recent: Jimmie Johnson (fall of 2014).
·        25 of the 32 (78.1%) Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series races at Texas Motor Speedway have been won from a top-10 starting position.
·        Four of the 32 (12.5%) Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series races at Texas Motor Speedway have been won from a starting position outside the top 20.
·        The deepest in the field that a race winner has started at Texas Motor Speedway is 31st, by Matt Kenseth in 2002.
·        Jeff Burton (4/06/1997) and Dale Earnhardt Jr. (4/02/2000) won their first Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series career race at Texas Motor Speedway.
·        Eight of the nine active Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series drivers who have won at Texas Motor Speedway participated in at least two or more races before visiting Victory Lane. Dale Earnhardt Jr. won at Texas in his first appearance; Ryan Newman won in his second appearance at TMS. 
·        Only two of the nine active winning drivers have made 10 or more attempts before their first win at Texas Motor Speedway: Kyle Busch (15) and Kurt Busch (13).
·        Kevin Harvick leads the series among active drivers with the most Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series starts at Texas Motor Speedway without visiting Victory Lane at 28.

Additional Finishing Positions
·        Jimmie Johnson leads the series in runner-up finishes at Texas Motor Speedway with five; followed by Matt Kenseth with four. 
·        Jimmie Johnson leads the series in top-five finishes at Texas Motor Speedway with 14; followed by Matt Kenseth (13) and Kyle Busch with 11.  
·        Jimmie Johnson leads the series in top-10 finishes at Texas Motor Speedway with 20; followed by Matt Kenseth (18).
·        Three active drivers with more than one start at Texas have a Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series average finish inside the top 10: Chase Elliott (4.5), Jimmie Johnson (8.370) and Matt Kenseth (9.429).
·        Kyle Busch and Denny Hamlin has participated in the most Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series races at Texas Motor Speedway without posting a DNF (22 each).

Track / Event Specific Stats
·        There have been five MENCS finishes at Texas Motor Speedway that have gone to NASCAR Overtime (Scheduled Laps/Actual Laps): 11/02/2014 (334/341); 04/07/2014 (334/340); 11/04/2012 (334/335); 04/06/2008 (334/339); 11/05/2006 (334/339).
·        Since the advent of electronic scoring, the closest margin of victory in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series at Texas Motor Speedway is the (4/4/2004) race won by Elliott Sadler with a MOV of 0.028 over second-place Kasey Kahne.
·        Jimmie Johnson leads the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series in laps led at Texas Motor Speedway with 1,023 laps led in 27 starts.
·        Qualifying has been cancelled due to weather conditions twice in the NASCAR Sprint Cup Series at Texas Motor Speedway; the inaugural event in 1997 and the spring race of 2007.
·        The MENCS race at Texas has been rain-shortened only once, last fall (334/293).
·        Weather has postponed the MENCS Texas race to another day twice – the spring 2014 race (scheduled for 04/06/2014 but was run on 04/07/2014) and the spring 2010 race (scheduled for 04/18/2010 but was run on 04/19/2010).   

Female Competitor Stats
·        Two female drivers have made MENCS starts at Texas Motor Speedway: Shawna Robinson and Danica Patrick
Date
Driver
Starting Position
Finishing Position
Driver Rating
11/6/2016
Danica Patrick
22
24
55.1
4/11/2016
Danica Patrick
26
21
57.7
11/8/2015
Danica Patrick
11
16
69.6
4/11/2015
Danica Patrick
21
16
74.9
11/2/2014
Danica Patrick
27
36
42.4
4/7/2014
Danica Patrick
24
27
53.2
11/3/2013
Danica Patrick
30
25
49.2
4/13/2013
Danica Patrick
42
28
42.9
11/4/2012
Danica Patrick
32
24
61.4
Averages
26.1
24.1
56.3
Date
Driver
Starting Position
Finishing Position
4/8/2002
Shawna Robinson
16
36


NASCAR in Texas
·        There have been 111 NASCAR national series races among three tracks in the state of Texas.
Track Name
City
Monster Energy
XFINITY
Camping World
Total Races
Texas Motor Speedway
Fort Worth
32
32
38
102
Meyer Speedway
Houston
1
0
0
1
Texas World Speedway
College Station
8
0
0
8
Totals

41
32
38
111
·        The first NASCAR national series race held in the state of Texas was a Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series race held at Texas World Speedway in College Station, Texas. The event was held on December 7, 1969 and it was won by Bobby Isaac (Dodge).  

Texas Drivers in NASCAR
·        84 drivers in NASCAR national series history have their home state recorded as Texas.
·        11 drivers from Texas have won at least one race in NASCAR’s three national series.
Driver
MENCS
NXS
NCWTS
Totals
Terry Labonte
22
11
1
34
Bobby Labonte
21
10
1
32
A.J. Foyt
7
0
0
7
Billy Wade
4
0
0
4
Chris Buescher
1
3
0
4
Bobby Hillin Jr
1
2
0
3
Johnny Rutherford
1
0
0
1
James Buescher
0
1
6
7
Joe Aramendia
0
0
0
0
David Starr
0
0
4
4
Colin Braun
0
0
1
1
Totals
57
27
13
97
·        Seven of the 11 Texas native NASCAR national series winners have won in the Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series; led by Terry Labonte with 22 wins.


Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series Milestones
Drivers
Has
Needs
Milestones
Jimmie Johnson
549
1
Attempt to make his 550th MENCS career start (34th all-time)
Matt DiBenedetto
74
1
Attempt to make his 75th MENCS career start tying Casey Atwood for 230th all-time.
Jimmie Johnson
80
3
Tie Cale Yarborough for sixth on MENCS all-time wins list
Kyle Busch
38
1
Tie Tim Flock for 18th on all-time MENCS wins list
Matt Kenseth
38
1
Tie Tim Flock for 18th on all-time MENCS wins list
Kevin Harvick
35
2
Tie Bobby Isaac for 21st on MENCS all-time wins list
Kurt Busch
29
3
Tie Dale Jarrett for 24th on all-time MENCS wins list
Denny Hamlin
29
3
Tie Dale Jarrett for 24th on all-time MENCS wins list
Brad Keselowski
23
2
Tie Joe Weatherly, Jim Paschal for 31st on all-time MENCS wins list
Ryan Newman
51
3
To tie Bill Elliott for eighth on the all-time MENCS poles list
Jimmie Johnson
35
1
Tie Rusty Wallace and Rex White for 17th on all-time MENCS poles list
Kasey Kahne
27
1
Break the tie with Terry Labonte to become solely 25th on all-time MENCS poles list
Denny Hamlin
24
1
Break the tie with Alan Kulwicki to become solely 28th on all-time MENCS poles list
Kevin Harvick
48
1
Break the tie with Lee Petty and become solely 10th on all-time MENCS second-place finishes list
Jimmie Johnson
46
2
Tie Lee Petty and Kevin Harvick for 10th on all-time MENCS second-place finishes list
Matt Kenseth
29
1
Tie Ricky Rudd for 25th on all-time MENCS second-place finishes list
Kyle Busch
149
1
To become the 23rd driver to post 150th MENCS top-five finishes
Dale Earnhardt Jr
148
2
To become the 23rd driver to post 150th MENCS top-five finishes
Jimmie Johnson
331
1
Tie Lee Petty for 12th on the MENCS all-time top-10 finishes list
Kyle Busch
12770
230
To become the 11th MENCS driver all-time to lead 13,000 or more laps
Kurt Busch
8,863
137
To become 20th MENCS driver all-time to lead 9,000 or more laps
Ryan Newman
4711
289
To become 40th MENCS driver all-time to lead 5,000 or more laps
Joey Logano
3,892
108
To become the 52nd MENCS driver all-time to lead 4,000 or more laps
Track Specific Milestones
Drivers
Has
Needs
Milestones
Denny Hamlin
2
1
To break the tie with Busch and Kenseth to become solely third on all-time MENCS Texas wins list
Kyle Busch
2
1
To break the tie with Busch and Kenseth to become solely third on all-time MENCS Texas wins list
Matt Kenseth
2
1
To break the tie with Busch and Kenseth to become solely third on all-time MENCS Texas wins list
Hendrick Motorsports
8
1
Tie Roush Fenway Racing for the series lead in wins at Texas
Dale Earnhardt Jr.
2
1
To break the seven driver tie for the series lead in poles at Texas
Martin Truex Jr.
2
1
To break the seven driver tie for the series lead in poles at Texas
Ryan Newman
2
1
To break the seven driver tie for the series lead in poles at Texas

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