Clint Bowyer: The resurgence of Clint Bowyer is very real. Bowyer has scored seven-consecutive top-15 or better finishes, including four top 10s. He finished second at Bristol last week and on the season, is averaging a finish of 11.1. One of the best parts about Bowyer right now is his price is equitable for the production. It actually gets better… Bowyer is a machine at Richmond. He has two career wins, four top fives, 12 top 10s and 348 laps led in 22 starts. Since 2005, Bowyer has run 70.5 percent of his laps in the top 15 at Richmond.
Austin Dillon: Even though Austin Dillon had a slow start to the season, he is beginning to ease into sleeper territory. He’s finished top-15 or better in three of his last four races, including a fifth-place finish at Martinsville. He ranks 14th in fantasy points averaged over his last three starts. In two short track races this season, Dillon has finished fifth (Martinsville) and 13th (Bristol), and has produced positive place differential of +8 or better in both races. He finished 20th (spring) and 13th (fall) in the two Richmond races in 2016.
Ryan Newman: Ryan Newman continues to be solid sleeper throughout the 2017 season. He’s finished outside the top-25 only twice through eight races. He ranks 23rd in fantasy points over his last three races and has four top-15 or better finishes in four of his last five starts. Newman’s been consistent at Richmond and warrants a start here. In 30 starts at Richmond, he has one win, six top fives, 16 top 10s and 454 laps led. He owns an average finish of 12.3 at Richmond and since 2005, Newman has run 70.1 percent of his laps in the top 15 there.
Trevor Bayne: In 2016, Trevor Bayne showed flashes of brilliance as a #FantasyNASCAR sleeper. This season, he’s proving to be better. Bayne has yet to a finish worse than 23rd and has finished 13th or better six times in eight races this season. He’s averaging a finish of 14.2 this season, with average place differential of +4.0. He ranks 15th in fantasy points averaged over his last three races. In four career starts at Richmond, Bayne has never finished outside the top-25. He owns an average finish of 19.5, with an average place differential of +4.7.
Value Plays:
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.: Ricky Stenhouse Jr. remains the top value play in #FantasyNASCAR. His price still remains extremely affordable given his strong production. Through eight races this season, Stenhouse has five finishes inside the top 15, including three top 10s. He sits 11th in fantasy points averaged over his last three races and has finishes of 10th (Martinsville) and ninth (Bristol) at the two short track races so far this season. Stenhouse has finished inside the top-20 in two of this last three Richmond races.
Aric Almirola: If Stenhouse Jr. is the A+ value play of the week, Almirola might as well be 2. A. Almirola remains a very strong value play this week at Richmond. He sits in a hot spot ranking of 24th in fantasy points averaged over his last three races. He has one race this season where he finished outside the top-22. Since 2013, Almirola has finished outside the top-21 only once at Richmond. He owns an average finish of 16.9 there, with an average place differential of +4.8. In 10 career starts at Richmond, Almirola has one top five and three top 10s.
David Ragan: Ragan scored his second top-25 finish in his last three races when he placed 23rd at Bristol this past weekend. He landed a +10 place differential – which is where Ragan’s highest value comes in. He makes a solid value play this week for Richmond as he owns a 22.8 average finish there, with a +0.8 average place differential. He finished 23rd in this race a season ago and had a +7 place differential. Depending on where he qualifies, Ragan could be a real steal. He sits 25th in fantasy points averaged over his last three races.
Cole Whitt: Cole Whitt might be one of the best value plays available in #FantasyNASCAR right now. His price is right at the floor level, and his production for that price has been strong through eight races. Whitt is averaging a finish of 25.5 and a place differential of +4.1. Whitt has had strong numbers at the short tracks to start the season has he’s finished top-25 or better at both Martinsville and Bristol, with place differentials of +10 in both of those races. Whitt sits 22nd in fantasy points averaged over his last three starts.
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