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| Joey Logano has one win, 4 Top-5's, 6 Top-10's and 275 laps led in his career at Pocono. |
Erik Jones: Justifying Erik Jones as a sleeper pick this season has been tough due to his risk. The Sunoco Rookie has wrecked in six of his 20 starts this season but carries heavy upside this weekend at Pocono. In one career start there earlier this season, Jones finished third – his best finish this season – after starting 15th. His driver rating in that race was a 112.7 – which ranks him second amongst active drivers in driver rating at Pocono with at least one start. He ran 93.8 percent of his laps completed in the top 15. He’s a solid buy this week.
Ryan Blaney: Ryan Blaney has been a quality sleeper play this season and continues that trend this weekend at Pocono. He had an elite performance there in June – starting fourth and going on to win the race, his first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series victory. In three career starts at Pocono, Blaney owns a place differential of +4.7, with an average finish of 7.3. He’s run 68.1 percent of his laps in the top 15 at the Tricky Triangle. Blaney currently sits 17th in fantasy points averaged over his last three races.
Joey Logano: Due to an uncharacteristically up-and-down season for Joey Logano, his salary across most leagues has dipped into sleeper territory. Right now is the chance to buy. Logano only has six races left to make it into the playoffs, and when his back is against the wall is usually when he performs. He currently sits 19th in fantasy points averaged over his last three races. In 17 career starts at Pocono, Logano has one win (2012), four top fives, six top 10s and 275 laps led. He owns an average finish at Pocono of 16.9.
Kasey Kahne: Coming off his first win since 2014, Kasey Kahne should be considered across all leagues as a sleeper play this week. In 27 career starts at Pocono, Kahne has two wins (July-2013 and June-2008), five top fives and nine top 10s, with 219 laps led. Since 2015, Kahne has +1.3 place differential at Pocono and has run 67.5 percent of his laps in the top 15 there. Since 2012, in the second Pocono race, Kahne has finishes of second (2012), first (2013), 10th (2014), wreck/ 43rd (2015) and 15th (2016).
Value Plays:
AJ Allmendinger: AJ Allmendinger is beginning to heat up at exactly the right time. He has two top-10 finishes in his last four races and in that four-race span has yet to finish outside the top-21. He currently sits eighth in fantasy points averaged over his last three races. On the season, he owns an average finish of 21, with an average place differential of +3.2. In his last four Pocono races, Dinger has yet to finish outside the top-22. Given Allmendinger’s asking price and production, he remains a strong value play at the Tricky Triangle.
Chris Buescher: If there was an award for the best bang for your buck #FantasyNASCAR value play, Chris Buescher would win it. On the season, Buescher owns an average finish of 21.6, with an average place differential of +5.2. Last week at Indy, Buescher showed exactly why he’s so valuable. He started 26th and finished ninth. Let’s get to Pocono numbers, shall we? Let’s start with he won this race last season... In three career starts there, he owns an average finish of 15.0 at Pocono, with an average place differential of +8.0
David Ragan: Struggling from a race-finishing perspective as of late, David Ragan still deserves a look as a value play at Pocono. On the season, Ragan owns an average finish of 25.0, with an average place differential of +4.8. Ragan’s best offering is his place differential and his Pocono numbers back that up. In 21 career starts at Pocono, Ragan owns an average finish of 23.7, with an average place differential of +4.7. In seven of his last eight Pocono starts, Ragan has positive place differential finishes.
Danica Patrick: Danica Patrick maybe onto to something. Her last four finishes? 25th (Daytona), 15th (Kentucky), 13th (New Hampshire) and most recently, 11th (Indianapolis). In three of those four races, Patrick has positive place differential of +5 or better. In that span, Patrick sits seventh in fantasy points averaged over her last three races. Given her last few race finishes, Patrick deserves a look as a value play at Pocono. She has three top-22 or better finishes there in her last four races, and in that span – owns a finish of 23.3.
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